We think that troubles in commercial real estate will not be that bad to bring down the economy.

Other analysts said last year that pending commercial-property bankruptcies could push the country back into recession – wreaking damage on the financial system equivalent to the subprime residential mortgage losses. We disagree to this because the  value of outstanding commercial mortgages is only a fraction of the value of outstanding residential mortgages.

Nonetheless, more losses will come over the next couple of months or years for commercial property owners and their lenders. The amount of loss and regained investments would depend on how owners, investors and lenders hold or sell their commercial properties and then make strategic acquisitions that is more aligned to their objectives, core and operational competencies as well as a good build-up timing for the coming upturn.

Commercial real estate’s decline in value is already slowing this year and we should expect it to bottom and turn around by the half of 2010.

Alex Zylberglait provides commercial real estate investment advisory as well as research, estate planning, asset allocation, valuation, financing, special assets services, transaction advisory and commercial property acquisition and disposition services.

One Response to “Trouble in Commercial Real Estate won’t Slow Down Economic Recovery”

1. Gary Watson says:

   January 5, 2010 at 5:54 pm

   investors are poised to return to the marketplace after staying on the sidelines during most of 2009

Leave a Reply

Cancel Reply

Name (required)

Mail (will not be published) (required)

Web site

CAPTCHA Code